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2024-12-14 11:22:47

Today, A-shares fell, and there was a general decline in the two cities. This is also a reaction to yesterday's general increase, but today's intraday decline is large, and the lethality cannot be underestimated. What impact does today's trend have on the market outlook of A-shares? Is the trend broken? Who is the biggest killer of retail investors? Now, let me talk about my own views.Today, the big index stocks fell, which is not the most critical. The damage to retail investors is not great, but the index is ugly and my heart is heavy.Today, A-shares are obviously holding 3400 points to lure people to bargain-hunting. In addition, many people are calling for reversing to pick up people and encouraging people to bargain-hunting. This is the trend between 1: 30 pm and 2: 00 pm. Here, we remind everyone to pay attention to the risks and stay away from the voice of mindless shouting.


In the morning, the net outflow of A-share main funds was 48.3 billion yuan, and it reached 66.7 billion yuan at 2 pm, which shows that after 1: 30 pm, many bargain-hunting funds entered.However, the next adjustment of A-shares is also worrying. This wave of pullback will be relatively large. We will refer to the 8% decline from 3509 on November 8 to 3227 on November 27. The adjustment will not exceed the last time, but it will reach 5%, which is also a drop of nearly 170 points. This is something we should be psychologically prepared for.Third, it is still attracting more.


Everyone should treat this adjustment correctly. At present, the short-term upward channel of A shares has not been destroyed. We should treat the current decline objectively and don't over-interpret it. Although there are many unfavorable factors facing A shares at present, such as the exhaustion of positive factors, the large increase of its own, the accelerated net outflow of main funds, the inability to effectively enlarge the trading volume, and the securities sector taking the lead in adjustment, we still can't judge that the short-term trend of A shares has changed fundamentally, but can only be regarded as a shocking process, which is what I often say is the process of constantly building a long trap.At noon, the article made it very clear that today, the main players are opening their bows left and right, suppressing downward, and the northbound funds and social security insurance are among the top losers, especially the northbound funds such as liquor, insurance and new lithium scenery.A shares do not have strong support at 3400 points. Today, it oscillated around this position, and deliberately did not fall below it in the morning. After the breakdown in the afternoon, it was pulled again, just to lure more and stifle the bottom-hunting funds. Therefore, next week's A shares are the most tormenting.

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